Andrew ([info]prock) wrote,
@ 2008-04-04 08:31:00
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Entry tags:environment, wagers

Global Temperature trends
Today, [info]schmengie and I made a wager of $100 that the temperatures of the next five years will be warmer than those of the last five years. Some details need to be worked out, like what the years are, and which temperatures are used. I propose the following definitions:

last five years: 2003-2007
next five years: 2008-2012
temperature source: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts.txt

Book it, [info]schmengie?

Anyone else care to book it? I have the "warming" side, of course. :)


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[info]wild_irises
2008-04-04 04:52 pm UTC (link)
If [info]schmengie wants more action, I'm in. I'm first, too!

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[info]schmengie
2008-04-04 05:12 pm UTC (link)
nah...maybe next time

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[info]schmengie
2008-04-04 05:14 pm UTC (link)
I trust you and your sources. dates work for me...book it dano

sure you dont wanna roll it into a double or nothing on Barge NL Tourney 2013? You are world famous p0cker player, and I am just a low limit playa :-)

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[info]prock
2008-04-04 06:48 pm UTC (link)
Ok, I give in. It's a parlay now.

Wager to be resolved after BARGE NL 2013. If either of us wins both $200 to the winner, otherwise it's a push.

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[info]schmengie
2008-04-04 06:53 pm UTC (link)
5 years...52 weeks a year....if I put around 80 cents a week away starting now I should be good....
I put it on my calendar for 1/1/2013 since my memory when i am 57 will suck

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[info]pb9617
2008-04-04 06:55 pm UTC (link)
Bad idea. Those measurements don't take into account increased stations and readings.

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[info]prock
2008-04-05 01:34 am UTC (link)
citation?

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[info]howardtreesong
2008-04-06 01:25 pm UTC (link)
I'm of course with schmengie on this one and will take $100 worth of action on it.

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[info]prock
2008-04-17 11:14 pm UTC (link)
booked.

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[info]awesomescampi
2008-04-17 07:32 pm UTC (link)
schmengie should not use GISS as the temperature source (periodic adjustments to the GISS dataset have a habit of lowering past temperatures and raising recent ones...James Hansen). I would use the average of the RSS and UAH satellite measurements.

schmengie should get 3:2 odds at least.

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[info]prock
2008-04-17 11:14 pm UTC (link)
Re: data

Can you provide (time stable) links?

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